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Showing posts with label Hollywood. Show all posts


Story:

Bifrost repaired and Loki imprisoned after the events of Avengers Assemble, Thor has restored peace to the Nine Realms. But it won’t last long; just around the corner lurks the Aether, an all-powerful energy that brings Thor’s great love, Jane Foster, to Asgard, and the Dark Elves, a race that will stop at nothing to get their hands on it and usher the universe into a new realm of darkness.

Review:

Fans of post-credits stings rejoice. For Thor: The Dark World boasts not one, not three, but two of the suckers, with one coming right at the end, so you even have time to nip out for a loo break before rushing back to catch it. 

However, we don’t recommend that you show up right at the end. Come for the stings, stick around for the previous 100 minutes of people talking and fighting and whatnot, and you’ll be rewarded with a thrilling, and often surprisingly funny, reminder that, following Avengers Assemble and Iron Man 3, nobody is better than Marvel at this blockbuster business right now. Acutely aware of the dangers of audience fatigue — case in point: The Dark World is Thor’s third big-screen appearance in as many years — Kevin Feige, who produces all the studio’s films, appears determined never to make the same film twice. 


So, where Kenneth Branagh’s introduction to Thor was a charming, cheesy, even campy fish-out-of-water comedy, Alan Taylor’s The Dark World is — tonally, visually, thematically — a different kettle of bilgesnipe, on a much bigger scale than the relatively low-key first instalment. At times it even feels like a sci-fi war movie. The one thing it doesn’t feel like, even though its lead character can fly and is virtually indestructible, is a superhero movie.

It also feels very different from last year’s Avengers Assemble, even though there are occasional callbacks to that movie, including a lovely riff on the shawarma scene and a nice cameo from... well, we won’t say. First and foremost, though, this is laid out as a sequel to Thor. Structurally, it begins in the same way, with a slightly clunky prologue — complete with portentous voice-over from Anthony Hopkins as Odin exposition — that sets up both the film’s main villains, the Dark Elves, and the Aether, an all-powerful source of dark matter that might as well be called the MacGuffin.

From there, though, it hits the ground running, deftly reintroducing the key players, from Odin to Tom Hiddleston’s Loki, bound for the dungeons after that kerfuffle in New York, and Natalie Portman’s Jane Foster, now living in London and going on an extremely awkward blind date with a potential new boyfriend (a fun cameo from Chris O’Dowd), who doesn’t stand a chance of living up to her previous boyfriend, the God Of Thunder.

Which brings us neatly to the main man. For the most part, Marvel has an uncanny knack for casting just the right person to make their comic book characters flesh. In the wrong hands, Thor could have been an utterly ridiculous character — an abbed-up demigod who looks like he’s on a gap year just finding himself, man, and who speaks with a Ye Olde English twang. And yet Chris Hemsworth managed to make it work from the get-go, bringing charm and power to the role. Getting back on the Norse here, the Australian actor comports himself with admirable ease, handling the comedic and dramatic aspects equally adroitly, as a rapidly maturing Thor is forced to rebel against his stubborn father in order to save Asgard (and the rest of the Nine Realms). The day Hemsworth puts the hammer down will be a shame.

Likewise, Hiddleston and Loki. The English actor is simply indelible in the role now, as adept at a devilish one-liner (“It’s not that I don’t enjoy our little chats,” he tells Odin. “It’s just... that I don’t”) as he is at suggesting the layers of pain and regret that lurk beneath Loki’s preening, prideful surface.

Given his increased status, it must have been tempting for Feige, Alan Taylor and writers Christopher Yost, Christopher Markus and Stephen McFeely to simply bump up Hiddleston’s screen time and make this the Thor And Loki Show. Yet, for the first hour or so, Loki is kept largely in the background, locked away in his super-hi-tech jail cell, disconnected from the larger story. He doesn’t even share a scene with Thor until roughly an hour in. It’s only when events spiral out of control, and Thor, backed into a corner, turns to his brother for help, that we get that Thor And Loki Show. And their time together is worth the wait, whether they’re bickering over the controls of a spacecraft or, in one more serious showdown, unleashing thousands of years of pent-up hurt and rage. The treatment of Loki here is akin to that of Magneto in X-Men 2; he’s still a villain, constantly mocking and taunting his older brother, yet an ambiguous one, and there’s a fair bit of dramatic potential in his inner conflict.

Which leaves it to Christopher Eccleston as Malekith, the leader of the Dark Elves, to fill the Loki-shaped hole. The Dark Elves, and their groovy spacecraft, are visually striking, and they’re positioned almost as an Al-Qaeda-type force, a race of fundamentalist warriors whose commitment to their cause is so great that they’ll die for it (the prologue sees Malekith ordering, effectively, mass suicide bombings), but Malekith himself is ultimately a rather bland, generic villain, with Eccleston reduced to growling guttural threats in a made-up language for much of the movie.

That said, the final showdown between Thor and Malekith is gloriously entertaining. Yes, it’s set in a city (London, with the ever-telegenic Greenwich coming to the fore again), and yes, it features two powerful foes knocking seven shades out of each other, but this isn’t the city-smashing snoozefest that mired Man Of Steel’s climax; instead, it’s tricksy and inventive, constantly wrong-footing not just the audience but its combatants to great, and often genuinely hilarious, effect. For a movie that has dark in its title, and which is — yes! — darker (people die, Asgard is grimier, as befitting Alan Taylor’s Game Of Thrones heritage), Thor 2.0 is consistently amusing, and the three biggest laughs in the movie all come during this sequence — a bold gamble when, ostensibly, the fate of the universe itself is at stake.

There are flaws. There are always flaws. There are signs that the story may, at one point, have been in flux (a potential love triangle between Thor, Jane and Sif goes nowhere, for example) and it’s also packed with a Smegload of fridge moments, those pesky plot-holes that will keep you awake at 3am, while its grasp on science (or, as Thor would have it, magic) is fairly flimsy, with respected actors spouting nonsense about gravitons and wibblyflibs like they’re in a 1950s B-movie. We’re no Prof. Brian Cox, but it’s almost certain to take this year’s Bad Movie Science award.

But the whole thing clips along at such a brisk rate — at just over 100 minutes (not including credits, or post-credit stings, or post-post-credits stings) it wraps up when most blockbusters are grinding their gears — and is so entertaining that it doesn’t seem to matter. Now that’s magic-science.


Verdict

As confident and assured as its lead character, Marvel’s great run continues. 



Movie Rating: 4/5






Cast: Jennifer Aniston, Jason Sudeikis, Will Poulter, Emma Roberts
Direction: Rawson Marshall Thurber
Genre: Comedy
Duration: 1 hour 50 minutes

Story: Can a small-time drug dealer manage to smuggle an enormous supply of marijuana into the US from Mexico with the help of a fake wife and two pretend kids?

Review: Small-time drug dealer David Clark (Jason Sudeikis) must cross the US-Mexico border to smuggle a major drug consignment, clear debts and make things right with drug lord Brad (Ed Helms). David comes up with a plan to fulfill his dangerous mission.

To appear harmless, he pretends to be part of a happy American family on vacation to Mexico. He hires Rose, the stripper (Jennifer Aniston), to be his wife and two teenagers (Will Poulter, Emma Roberts) to be his children. Can the fake family pull off the unfamiliar task?

If outrageous, politically incorrect, sleazy or, to be specific, 'genital jokes' offend you, We're the Millers may not amuse you. However, if you are not a holier-than-thou type and find plenty of adult humour hilarious, there's enough madness in the film to keep you entertained.

In spite of a predictable story (we all know the fake family will end up functioning as a real family eventually), what makes the movie work is the spectacular comic timing and performances of the lead actors. They lend just the right amount of chutzpah to their bizarre roles. The madcap characters don't get mushy at the drop of a hat which is hugely refreshing. What also clicks is the balance the story manages to maintain between heart- warming emotions and dirtiness.

Jennifer Aniston shuttles between motherly and sultry with utmost ease. Men are bound to drool over her in an elaborate stripping scene. Jason Sudeikis gets his rude act right. Will Poulter is adorable as the 'virgin' nice boy while Emma Roberts blends in perfectly as the wild child.

We're the Millers is a predictable but funny road trip movie that's loaded with sexual expletives. In spite of the occasional silliness, it does make you laugh.

Note: You may not like this film if adult humour grosses you out.



Movie Rating: 3.5/5




"No dream is too big and no dreamer too small". This is the mantra of this simple underdog sports movie, which spurs the audience to pursue one's dreams.

It is an animated tale of Theo, the snail who dreams big after being motivated by a French car-racing champion, Guy Gagne, whom he hero worships by watching late night TV and VHS cassettes of his idol.

Adventurous and inspired, Theo moves out of his comfort zone to explore his surroundings and one day, accidentally falls into the engine of a car that contains nitrous oxide. And lo and behold, he gets magically transformed from a sluggish to a speedy snail.

With this sudden power of speed, he longs to realise his dream of being a car racer. He rechristens himself as Turbo and parades himself before his clan. But will he crash and burn into the real world? This is the question thrown in by his colleagues and brother.

Soon circumstances make him move away from home to a run-down strip mall into the care of Tito, a truck driver selling tacos, whose hobby is snail racing. On noticing Turbo's speed, Tito is kicked into making Turbo participate in the Indianapolis 500 car rally.

Turbo's protective older brother, Chet worries that Turbo is aiming too high in thinking he can become a speed demon. But Turbo chants his mantra, which his hero, Guy repeatedly expresses "No dream is too big".

As Turbo takes up this challenge, his worried brother Chet asks him: "What happens if you wake up tomorrow and find most of your power gone?" Turbo replies: "I'll make the most of it today". Stimulating!

The plot smoothly progresses, interrupting periodically for musical montages featuring rap tunes. But the scenarios witnessed also bring along strong feelings of deja vu. What different is this snail who longs to be a racer from a rodent who longs to be a chef in "Ratatouille"? Or that building up to a big auto race set in Indianapolis different from one set in "Cars" and at the very end, there's even a brief nod to "Transformers".

But the contrast in the premise is what makes 'Turbo' appealing. Especially, a snail tracking in excess of 200 mph is absurd but in "Turbo" this is made believable.

The cocky yet vulnerable energy that Ryan Reynolds gives the little snail Turbo, works wonder. Giamatti as Chet, Samuel L. Jackson as Whiplash and Michael Pena as Tito are excellent. The fellow snail racers voiced by Maya Rudolph, Snoop Dogg, Samuel L. Jackson and owners of establishments in the mall, voiced by Richard Jenkins, Ken Jeong andMichelle, just fit the bill.

Director David Soren, in his first animated feature, manages to keep things moving faster than a speeding TURBO. The script manages to create a very entertaining ride with the 3D element.



Movie Rating:2/5





Film: Red 2
Cast: Bruce Willis, John Malkovich, Mary-Louise Parker, Helen Mirren, Anthony Hopkins, Catherine Zeta Jones, Byung Hun Lee
Director:Dean Parisot


What it's about: 
So what do you do when your film is the sleeper hit of the year? You go ahead and make a sequel! Dean Parisot revisits the 2010’s hit team of undercover hitmen who are now joined by Anthony Hopkins, Catherine Zeta Jones and Korean star Byung Hun Lee in what seems to be a calibrated effort to use the old tricks to market some new material. Retired CIA agent Frank Moses (Willis) is dragged back into the game by his girlfriend (Parker) and old accomplice Marvin (Malkovich). 
This time around he has to prevent a deadly weapon of mass destruction from reaching the hands of a rogue government. The action takes place across Europe as they sprint across London, Moscow and Paris figuring out who’s the fugitive that’s giving them the chase.

What's good: 
The banter between Willis and Malkovich has some of the most entertaining exchange of verbal volleys. While the former has a zen like appeal, the latter doesn't flinch from adding dollops of colour to his language. Given the fact that it is a throwback to the first, there is a sizeable increase in the ammunition. Most of the stunts are magnified to the scale 10, especially the slow motion car scene with Helen Mirren which takes the cake. Byung Hun Lee brings a nice Oriental twist to the tale. Anthony Hopkins is terrific as the quirky scientist and takes us back to the Hannibal Lecter days for one fleeting second.

What's not: 
The gags lack the required punch, some of them seem over rehearsed while others seem . Malkovich gets the best lines while Mirren’s screen time is awfully slashed. Willis and Parker’s zany chemistry gets jaded before interval. Catherine Zeta Jones is wasted in an extended cameo sort of roles as Frank’s ex-girlfriend. The ensemble reminds us of the Expendables, only this one is more fashionable and feisty. It isn't that the film isn't funny, some scenes and lines will have you in splits, but the cohesiveness is missing. Also making the older actors do crazy stuff and pull off those mind boggling stunts was a formula milked dry in the prequel. This time around the same exercise seems futile.

What to do: 
If you enjoyed the first part, and wished it had larger than life action scenes, then Red 2 is your ticket this weekend.   



Movie Rating: 3/5






Emma Roberts was arrested for domestic violence in Canada for allegedly hitting her actor 

boyfriend Evan Peters. The 22-year-old niece of actress Julia Roberts was taken into 

custody on July 7 in Montreal after getting into a fight with her beau that left 26-year-old 

Peters bloody, according to TMZ.

  • Best Film – Argo (Grant Heslov, Ben Affleck, George Clooney)
  • Best Director – Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
  • Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln as Abraham Lincoln)
  • Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook as Tiffany Maxwell)
  • Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained as Dr. King Schultz)
  • Best Supporting Actress – Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables as Fantine)
  • Best Original Screenplay – Django Unchained (Quentin Tarantino)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay – Argo (Chris Terrio from The Master of Disguise by Antonio J. Mendez & The Great Escape by Joshuah Bearman)
  • Best Cinematography – Life of Pi (Claudio Miranda)
  • Best Animated Feature – Brave (Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman)
  • Best Foreign Language Feature Film – Amour (Austria)
  • Best Original Score – Life of Pi (Mychael Danna)
  • Best Original Song – “Skyfall” from Skyfall (Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth)
  • Best Film Editing – Argo (William Goldenberg)
  • Best Visual Effects – Life of Pi (Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan de Boer, and Donald R. Elliott)
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling – Les Miserables (Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell)
  • Best Costume Design – Anna Karenina (Jacqueline Durran)
  • Best Production Design – Lincoln (Rick Carter and Jim Erickson)
  • Best Sound Mixing – Les Miserables (Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, and Simon Hayes)
  • Best Sound Editing – Joint Winners – Skyfall (Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers) – Zero Dark Thirty (Paul N. J. Ottosson)
  • Best Documentary Feature – Searching for Sugar Man (Malik Bendjelloul and Simon Chinn)
  • Best Documentary – Short Subject  - Inocente (Sean Fine and Andrea Nix Fine)
  • Best Live Action Short Film – Curfew (Shawn Christensen)
  • Best Animated Short Film – Paperman (John Kahrs)





Oscar Awards 2013 LIVE: Ang Lee crowned the best director for 'Life of Pi'!

 











Los Angeles: The red carpet has been rolled out, the actors are all dressed in their prettiest/handsome-est best and the paparazzi are all clickety-click… Hollywood’s biggest night, the 85th Academy Awards – the Oscar Awards 2013 – is finally here!

This year, like every year, sees the best of the industry being honoured with the gold statuette. While Steven Spielberg’s ‘Lincoln’ is the film that has bagged the maximum number of nominations this time – a whopping 12 – Ang Lee’s ‘Life of Pi’ is close to it with a nomination count of 11.

And the Oscar goes to…


- Best Direction - Ang Lee for 'Life of Pi'.

- Jane Fonda and Michael Douglas to present the next set of awards.

- "This is the writers' year," says Quentin Tarantino in his acceptance speech.

- Best Writing - Original Screenplay - Quentin Tarantino for 'Django Unchained'.

- Best Writing - Adapted Screenplay - Chris Terrio for 'Argo'.

- Dustin Hoffman and Charlize Theron to present the next set of awards.

- Best Original Song - Adele for 'Skyfall'.

- Norah Jones performs 'Everbody needs a best friend' on the stage. The song has been nominated in the Best Original Song category.

- Best Original Score - Mychael Danna for 'Life of Pi'.

- The cast of 'Chicago' - Richard Gere, Catherine Zeta-Jones, Renee Zellweger and Queen Latifah to present the award for the Best Original Score.

- George Clooney on the stage - a tribute to the ones who left the world this year.

- Salma Hayek to present the next award: The Governors' Awards - The Honorary Oscars.

- Best Production Design - 'Lincoln' - Rick Carter (Production Design); Jim Erickson (Set Decoration).

- Daniel Radcliffe and Kristen Stewart to present the next awards... Harry Potter and Twilight together? Well.

- Nicole Kidman presents the next nominees for the Best Picture award - 'Django Unchained', 'Amour' and 'Silver Linings Playbook'.

- Jennifer Lawrence invites Adele on stage. 'Skyfall' in the amazing singer's amazing voice.

- Best Film Editing - William Goldenberg for 'Argo'.

- Sandra Bullock to present the next set of awards.

- "Someday in the not too distant future, the misfortunes of our times will only be found in stories." ~ Anne Hathaway's Oscar speech.

- Best Actress in a Supporting Role - Anne Hathaway for 'Les Miserables'.

- The legendary Christopher Plummer to present the next award.

- Best Sound Editing - A tie between Paul N.J. Ottosson for 'Zero Dark Thirty' and Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers for 'Skyfall. Mark Wahlberg and well... Ted present the awards!

- Best Sound Mixing - 'Les Misérables' - Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes.

- The cast of 'Les Miserables' present a musical performance on the stage.

- Best Foreign Language Film - 'Amour' – Austria.

- Jennifer Garner and Jessica Chastain are to present the next.

- Best Documentary - Feature - 'Searching for Sugar Man'.

- Ben Affleck to present the next set of awards.

- Liam Neeson on the stage now; introduces three films nominated in the Best Films category - 'Argo', 'Lincoln' and 'Zero Dark Thirty'.

- Best Documentary - Short Subject - 'Inocente'.

- Best Short Film - Live Action - Shawn Christensen for 'Curfew'.

- Shirley Bassy brings back memories of Sean Connery-esque James Bond.

- A look at the sights, sounds and the music of the past five decades of 007 - James Bond.

- The exquisite Halle Berry on stage now - Fifty Years of Bond!

- Best Make-Up and Hair Styling - Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell for 'Les Misérables'.

- Best Costume Design - Jacqueline Durran for Anna Karenina.

- Jennifer Aniston and Channing Tatum to present the next set of awards.

- Best Visual Effects - 'Life of Pi' - Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott. Second award.

- Best Cinematography - Claudio Miranda for 'Life of Pi'. 'Life of Pi' bags its first award!

- Best Animated Feature Film - 'Brave', directed by Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman.

- The award for the Best Short Film - Animated - John Kahrs for 'Paperman'.

- First up, the award for the Best Supporting Actor. Octavia Spencer presents the award to Christoph Waltz for 'Django Unchained'.

- A lot of music at the Oscars this year.

- Daniel Radcliffe and Joseph Gordon-Levitt join Seth MacFarlane on the stage now.

- Channing Tatum and Charlize Theron on the stage now. They perform on 'Just the way you look tonight'.

- MacFarlane pulls Ben Affleck's leg!

- A lot of films, music in films and a lot more - Oscars 2013!

- Seth MacFarlane cracks a joke on stage!

- And it begins!

- We're just a short while away from Hollywood's biggest night...

- Renee Zellweger in a gold gown on the red carpet!

- Daniel Day-Lewis on the red carpet now. Day-Lewis has been nominated in the Best Actor category for 'Lincoln'. The film is the most-nominated one this year - 12 nominations!

- Anne Hathaway in Prada - "Business in front, party in the back!"; clad in Tiffany accessories. The way this woman wears her short hair is absolutely admirable!

- George Clooney, with girlfriend Stacy Kiebler, looks superb... He's growing younger with every passing day! This year, Clooney has won himself his eighth Oscar nomination - a feat achieved only by Walt Disney so far.

- Adele might as well take away an award for being one of the best dressed on the red carpet - in a 15 kilo dress! The singer has been nominated in the Original Song category for her 'Skyfall' number.

- Halle Berry looks fabulous in a Versace - as a 'Bond Girl'!

- Jennifer Garner's Gucci outfit is another of those jaw-dropping ones on the Red Carpet this year!

- Jennifer Aniston's red "Princess-y" (okay, this is Aniston's own word!) dress is a complete stunner!

- Amanda Seyfried, Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence - among the best dressed on the red carpet!

- Hugh Jackman just picked the woman speaking to her up! The actor graced the red carpet with his wife Deborra-lee Furness by his side. Jackman has won himself a nomination in the Best Actor category this year for his performance in 'Les Miserables'.

- Charlize Theron is all white on the red carpet - in a Dior creation!

- Nicole Kidman, one of the presenters of the night, looks absolutely gorgeous in her black and gold ensemble. Kidman is with husband Keith Urban.

- Bradley Cooper... gasp! The actor, looking drop-down handsome, has been nominated in the Best Actor category for his role in 'Silver Linings Playbook'. And in case you were wondering who Cooper would be seen with on the red carpet, it's his mother - Brad's date for the night!

- On the other side, Joseph Gordon-Levitt is oozing oodles of charm!

- Reese Witherspoon - a vision in blue - every bit so!


- The Red Carpet has just begun!





   

Twice before, in 2009 and 2011, I sought to predict the Academy Award winners in six major categories based on a mix of statistical factors. My track record? Nine correct picks in 12 tries, for a 75 percent success rate. Not bad, but also not good enough to suggest that there is any magic formula for this.

So this year, I have sought to simplify the method, making the link to the FiveThirtyEight election forecasts more explicit. This approach won’t be foolproof either, but it should make the philosophy behind the method more apparent. The Oscars, in which the voting franchise is limited to the 6,000 members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, are not exactly a democratic process. But they provide for plenty of parallels to political campaigns.

In each case, there are different constituencies, like the 15 branches of the Academy (like actors, producers and directors) that vote for the awards. There is plenty of lobbying from the studios, which invest millions in the hopes that an Oscar win will extend the life of their films at the box office. And there are precursors for how the elections will turn out: polls in the case of presidential races, and for the Oscars, the litany of other film awards that precede them.

So our method will now look solely at the other awards that were given out in the run-up to the Oscars: the closest equivalent to pre-election polls. These have always been the best predictors of Oscar success. In fact, I have grown wary that methods that seek to account for a more complex array of factors are picking up on a lot of spurious correlations and identifying more noise than signal. If a film is the cinematic equivalent of Tim Pawlenty — something that looks like a contender in the abstract, but which isn’t picking up much support from actual voters — we should be skeptical that it would suddenly turn things around.

Just as our election forecasts assign more weight to certain polls, we do not treat all awards equally. Instead, some awards have a strong track record of picking the Oscar winners in their categories, whereas others almost never get the answer right (here’s looking at you, Los Angeles Film Critics Association).

These patterns aren’t random: instead, the main reason that some awards perform better is because some of them are voted on by people who will also vote for the Oscars. For instance, many members of the Screen Actors Guild will vote both for the SAG Awards and for the Oscars. In contrast to these “insider” awards are those like the Golden Globes, which are voted upon by “outsiders” like journalists or critics; these tend to be less reliable.

Let me show you how this works in the case of the Best Picture nominees. There are a total of 16 awards in my database, not counting the Oscars, that are given out for Best Picture or that otherwise represent the highest merit that a voting group can bestow on a film. (For instance, the Producers Guild Awards are technically given out to the producers of a film rather than the film itself, but they nevertheless serve as useful Best Picture precursors.) In each case, I have recorded how often the award recipient has corresponded with the Oscar winner over the last 25 years (or going back as far as possible if the award hasn’t been around that long).


Chart 1
The best performance has come from the Directors Guild of America. Their award for Outstanding Direction in a Feature Film has corresponded with the Academy Award for Best Picture a full 80 percent of the time. (Keep in mind that Best Picture and Best Director winners rarely differ from one another — although this year, as you will see, is very likely to be an exception.) The Producers Guild awards are the next most accurate; their award for best production in a feature film has a 70 percent success rate in calling the Academy’s Best Picture winner. Directors and producers are the movers and shakers in Hollywood, and any evidence about their opinions ought to count for a lot – as it does in our system.
By contrast, the Golden Globe for best dramatic motion picture has only matched with the Oscar winner about half the time. And some of the awards given out by critics do much worse than this: the Los Angeles Film Critics Association’s Best Film has matched the Oscar only 12 percent of the time, for example. Our formula, therefore, leans very heavily on the “insider” awards. (The gory details: I weight each award based on the square of its historical success rate, and then double the score for awards whose voting memberships overlap significantly with the Academy.)
Ideally, we would want to look not only which films win which the awards, but also how close the voting was (just as it is extremely helpful to look at the margin separating the candidates in a political poll). Unfortunately, none of the awards publish this information, so I instead I give partial credit (one-fifth of a point) to each film that was nominated for a given award.
The short version: our forecasts for the Academy Awards are based on which candidates have won other awards in their category. We give more weight to awards that have frequently corresponded with the Oscar winners in the past, and which are voted on by people who will also vote for the Oscars. We don’t consider any statistical factors beyond that, and we doubt that doing so would provide all that much insight.
Chart 2
Sometimes, of course, it shouldn’t require a formula to know who is going to win. Such is the case with the Best Picture nominees this year. One film has dominated the category, and it is “Argo.”
“Argo” has won the top awards given out by Hollywood directors, producers, actors, writers and editors, all of whom will also vote for the Oscars. It also won the Bafta (British Academy of Film and Television Arts) award for Best Picture, whose membership has significant overlap with the Academy.
“Zero Dark Thirty” may have won slightly more critical acclaim, but the critics do not vote for the Oscars; the insiders do. And there has been absolute consensus for “Argo” among the insiders. It would be an enormous upset if it were to lose. (“Lincoln,” once considered the front-runner, has been nominated for almost every best picture award but won none of them. Counting on a comeback would be a bit like expecting Rudolph W. Giuliani to have resurrected his campaign in Florida in 2008 after finishing in sixth place everywhere else.)
Chart 3
If “Argo” is a shoo-in for Best Picture, then you might expect Ben Affleck to be the clear favorite for Best Director as well. And he almost certainly would be — if only he had been nominated.
Instead, in what might have been karmic payback for “Gigli”, Mr. Affleck was snubbed by the Academy. So despite winning the Directors’ Guild award, the Golden Globe and the Bafta for best director, Mr. Affleck will not win an Oscar in this category.
The next most-common winner of best director awards, after Mr. Affleck, has been Kathryn Bigelow, for “Zero Dark Thirty.” But Ms. Bigelow was snubbed by the Academy as well.
This creates a tremendous problem for any method that is based on looking at other award winners. In fact, it gives me unhappy memories of ourinfamous Taraji P. Henson pick in 2009. (In that case, there was a lot of disagreement about which actresses were nominated into the leading and supporting categories, making it hard to track one award to the next one.)
One thin reed is that David O. Russell won the Satellite Award for “Silver Linings Playbook”. This is, in fact, the only one of the nine awards we track whose winner was even nominated for the Oscar. However, the Satellite Award has historically matched the Academy Award for Best Director only 38 percent of the time, so it gets little weight in our system.
Instead, the method defaults to looking at partial credit based on who was nominated for the other awards most frequently. Among the five directors who were actually nominated for the Oscars, Steven Spielberg (for “Lincoln”) and Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”) were nominated for other directorial awards far more often than the others, and Mr. Spielberg slightly more regularly than Mr. Lee. So the method gives the award to Mr. Spielberg on points, but it’s going to be blind luck if we get this one right: you can’t claim to have a data-driven prediction when you don’t have any data.
Chart 4
One place where “Lincoln” will almost certainly pick up hardware is for Best Actor, where Daniel Day-Lewis should win for his portrayal of the 16th president. Bradley Cooper (“Silver Linings Playbook”) did win the Satellite Award and the National Board of Review’s award for best actor, but neither has a strong track record, whereas Mr. Day-Lewis has swept the awards that predict Oscar success well.
Chart 5
There is considerably more uncertainty in the Best Actress category, and it is here where our practice of weighting the awards based on their past reliability may be the most helpful.
Jennifer Lawrence, Mr. Cooper’s co-star in “Silver Linings Playbook,” won the Screen Actors Guild award for Best Actress. That has been the single most reliable award in the Best Actress category in the past, corresponding to the Oscar winner two-thirds of the time. This is very possibly because actors and actresses make up the largest plurality of the Academy’s 15 groups of voters, creating especially strong overlap between the populations.
However, the SAG Award still goes wrong one-third of the time (it did so as recently as last year, when Viola Davis won it, while Meryl Streep won the Oscar). Ms. Lawrence would not necessarily be favored if there were a consensus against her in the other awards.
There isn’t really any such consensus, however. Jessica Chastain won the Golden Globe for best Best Actress in a drama, but she was not matched up directly against Ms. Lawrence, who was nominated for (and won) the comedic category instead. Ms. Chastain also won several awards given out by critics, but these have less predictive power. (It also seems reasonably clear that Academy members are not enamored of “Zero Dark Thirty.”)
The 85-year-old Emmanuelle Riva (“Amour”), meanwhile, won the Bafta in an upset and is now attracting a lot of buzz as a potential Oscar surprise. But one rule-of-thumb in elections analysis is that “momentum” is often given too much credence by pundits. I suppose I can’t say for certain that the same is true in Oscars coverage — and perhaps it is more relevant in the case of a film like “Amour,” which may not have been seen by all that many Academy members until recently. But the SAG Awards have a better track record than the Baftas across all acting categories, despite usually predating them on the calendar. The safe money therefore remains on Ms. Lawrence, with Ms. Riva and Ms. Chastain being viable alternatives.
Chart 6
This is almost certainly the most competitive category: all five nominees have won Oscars before, and there is no consensus choice. In fact, the competition was tough enough this year that some well-known actors (like Leonardo DiCaprio for “Django Unchained”) that won critics’ awards were not even nominated by the Academy.
As is the case for the other acting categories, however, our method tends to default to the SAG winner when there is a lack of consensus otherwise: that was Tommy Lee Jones for “Lincoln.”
Christoph Waltz (“Django Unchained”) won both the Golden Globe and the Bafta (and might be my choice if I were going based on which performance I liked the most personally, instead of trying to guess at what the Academy will do). But one red flag is that Mr. Waltz was not even nominated for several other awards, including the SAG, suggesting that he may lack support among some Academy constituencies.
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (“The Master”) could be a compromise candidate: he was nominated more widely than Mr. Waltz, and won more awards than Mr. Jones. But his wins came in awards that were voted on by critics, historically the least reliable.
Finally, there is the sentimental choice: Robert De Niro for “Silver Linings Playbook,” who last won an Oscar in 1981 (“Raging Bull”). However, Mr. De Niro has not any major awards for “Silver Linings Playbook,” and so ranks last among the five nominees by our statistical method.
Simply put, it would be unusual for an actor to win an award after having been shut out previously. If he wins, it might constitute evidence that members of the Academy are treating the Oscars differently than they do other awards, using them as a proxy for lifetime achievement – or that lobbying efforts on behalf of Mr. De Niro had been successful. But such attempts at log-rolling could also backfire: it’s plausible, for example, that votes received by Mr. De Niro could come at the expense of Mr. Waltz, since both films were produced by the same studio, making it easier for Mr. Jones to win by plurality.
Chart 7
There is considerably less reason for last-minute campaigning in this category: Anne Hathaway as about as safe a bet to win for “Les Misérables” as Mitt Romney was to win Utah. If Sally Field or Amy Adams wins instead, it will probably be time for me to retire from the Oscar-forecasting business.




Oscar Awards 2013: Nine movies beyond comparison!

New Delhi: With the Academy Awards just round the corner, almost every heart has been set aflutter in anticipation of who will bag the coveted trophy with the perfectly carved out golden man this year.


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Oscar Awards 2013: The actresses who will take your breath away!
Akin to each year, even this time the jury will undoubtedly face a dilemma choosing among all the top notch nominees in the best film category at the Oscars.

The nominees for the Best Picture at the Oscar Awards 2013 are – ‘Amour’, ‘Argo’, ‘Life of Pi’, ‘Lincoln’, ‘Silver Linings Playbook’ and ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’.

‘Django Unchained’, ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ and ‘Les Misérables’ also made it to the list of the Best Movies for the Academy Awards.

The contenders, which are generally 5 in number but this year, have turned out to be 9, show the immense passion and dedication on the part of the filmmakers.

May the best movie win! 













Source:ZeeNews

Oscar Awards 2013: The actresses who will take your breath away!

Delhi: As Hollywood gears up for the most exciting night of the year – the 85th Academy Awards – here’s a quick look at the actresses who have made it to the penultimate level. The five actresses who are at the last but one step this year are some brilliant performers.

Five actresses will be seen battling it out for Best Actress’ trophy this year. While Jessica Chastain has been nominated for ‘Zero Dark Thirty’, Jennifer Lawrence has made it to the list for her performance in ‘Silver Linings Playbook’.

Emmanuelle Riva’s stint in ‘Amour’ has placed her among the best five actresses and Quvenzhané Wallis has been nominated for ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’.

Naomi Watts’ performance in ‘The Impossible’ has made her secure a place for herself in the list of best actresses for 2013.

As time rushes towards the final countdown, here’s hoping Oscar Awards, this year too, turn out to be one of the best so far! 

Cast: Bruce Willis, Jai Courtney, Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Sebastian Koch
Runtime: 98 Minutes
Director: John Moore

In the fifth installment of the ‘Die Hard’ film series, ‘A Good Day To Die Hard’, Bruce Willis is back as John McClane.

This time the American cop John McClane, for the first time, finds himself on foreign soil after traveling to Moscow to help his wayward son Jack – unaware that Jack is really a highly-trained CIA operative out to stop a nuclear weapons heist. With the Russian underworld in pursuit, and battling a countdown to war, the two McClanes discover that their opposing methods make them unstoppable heroes.

Bruce Willis dominates every scene he is in and has a few funny John McClane moments, but the action superstar can’t make this 98 minute film all pleasurable. Jai Courtney certainly has the physicality that should suit the son of McClane, his performance is okay. Mary Elizabeth Winstead, who played his daughter in the fourth installment Live Free or Die Hard, makes a quick appearance at the beginning dropping dad off at the airport.

The Die Hard series is known for having interesting and well-acted villains who come with a twist to oppose John McClane, By far the weakest villains in the whole franchise, their screen presence is limited and they are seriously under-developed and the attempted twist also keeps you from knowing who you’re supposed to be rooting against until the climax, which dovetails with an over the top, CGI filled climax with unnecessarily slow motion explosions.

What do you get when you put a 25-year old action series, along with its ageing McClane, together with the director of “Max Payne” and “The Omen,” and the screenwriter of“X-Men Origins: Wolverine “and “The A – Team”?

If you guessed the first great action flick of 2013, you would be wrong. What you do get unfortunately are numerous gun-shots, car crashes, explosions among other novel action sequences and a weak script.

The story and screenplay were equally implausible in the fourth film and one realizes leap of faith need to be taken into consideration for such big actioners, but Die Hard 5 is just not gripping enough. Dear Franchise owners, In case planning for Die Hard 6 please make sure you don’t let Skip Woods and John Moore anywhere near it…



Movie Review: 2/5

Vishwaroopam/Vishwaroop, the Rs 95 crore spy thriller, produced and directed by Kamal Haasan has crossed the 100 crore mark in India. The film has supposedly made a humongous Rs 120 crores in the Indian box office. This is reportedly the third Tamil film after Sivaji and Enthiran to achieve this massive feat at the BO.

The news was also confirmed by actor Rahul Bose recently through his twitter post. The film is also scoring big time at the USA and UK BO. According to trade pundits, the film (Tamil and Telugu) at the end of the third week in UK and USA (in reported theaters), has raked massive Rs 2.33 crores and Rs 6.41 crores respectively.  

Meanwhile, Kamal has tentatively named the sequel as ‘Moo’. He will begin the pre-production process for the film in a month’s time. He might also be roping in a couple of Hollywood stars for the sequel.








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